The perils of prediction were clear last year, when a poll of ACC beat writers (supposedly the most knowledgeable, unbiased group out there when it comes to ACC basketball, the group whose job depends on knowing what’s going on), got together before the season and picked Duke and UNC to finish tied for first in the conference (sidenote: the name of this annual preseason gathering is Operation Basketball, so in case you were wondering how important ACC basketball is around here, it’s as important as a military operation).
In case you forgot what actually happened (and I’m only pointing this out in case you actually forgot, and in no way doing this to gloat or revel in it), the ACC media was right in one respect — Duke and UNC both almost won titles. It’s just that Duke was in the NCAA tournament while UNC was in the NIT.
So that’s the downside of predicting. The upside is that no one remembers what you predicted, so you don’t lose anything for being wrong. Unless you do something stupid like link to last year’s prediction (Ok, 31-7, Elite Eight finish because we lacked a quality big man — sorry for not thinking Brian Zoubek, who wasn’t even starting at the time, would become the next Carlos Boozer). Continue reading